Race 4B

maisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 11.1% 13.2% 13.8% 14.5% 12.9% 12.1% 10.0% 6.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Meredith Moran 25.4% 21.1% 15.2% 13.3% 10.5% 6.5% 3.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 16.9% 16.2% 17.1% 14.2% 10.7% 10.0% 6.8% 5.5% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Ava Farley 6.1% 7.5% 6.5% 8.6% 11.5% 10.8% 12.4% 12.7% 12.9% 7.4% 3.6%
Islay Van Dusen 9.2% 8.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.7% 9.4% 12.3% 11.4% 9.1% 5.5% 2.0%
Leah Rickard 11.0% 11.6% 12.4% 11.6% 11.9% 12.5% 10.0% 7.0% 7.2% 4.2% 0.6%
Allison Volk 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 3.4% 5.2% 6.3% 8.1% 10.8% 12.9% 20.7% 22.3%
Laura Smith 3.6% 3.2% 3.7% 5.4% 5.9% 7.8% 8.7% 9.8% 15.7% 18.1% 18.1%
Caroline Sandoval 5.3% 6.7% 7.5% 7.1% 7.8% 11.7% 12.7% 12.3% 13.0% 9.6% 6.3%
Brook Wood 6.8% 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 8.7% 10.0% 10.0% 13.5% 13.2% 10.9% 4.8%
Hannah Mercurio 1.2% 2.5% 2.0% 2.3% 4.2% 2.9% 5.2% 7.8% 9.9% 20.2% 41.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.