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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+2.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43-0.64vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00+1.42vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39-0.41vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.31+0.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.20-1.82vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.37-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Pennsylvania2.180.2%1st Place
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5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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3.36Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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6.42Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.59George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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7.68Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 11.2% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 19.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 22.6% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Brook Wood | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Ava Farley | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 47.6% |
| Allison Volk | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| Laura Smith | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.