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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.73vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+2.09vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.20+4.46vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.51vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86-1.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00-0.76vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.31+0.16vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-4.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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3.73University of Pennsylvania2.180.2%1st Place
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5.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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6.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.24Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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7.78Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.4George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 21.5% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 19.6% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Allison Volk | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 24.3% |
| Brook Wood | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Laura Smith | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 21.0% | 43.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Ava Farley | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.