Race 7B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 12.3% 12.5% 14.6% 13.8% 13.0% 14.4% 9.2% 6.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Islay Van Dusen 8.6% 8.4% 11.1% 11.0% 12.2% 13.0% 9.9% 12.5% 7.9% 4.3% 1.1%
Torrey Chisari 18.1% 17.6% 14.5% 16.2% 11.7% 8.5% 7.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 2.6% 4.5% 6.0% 6.4% 11.2% 20.6% 41.5%
Caroline Sandoval 6.4% 6.6% 7.5% 7.8% 10.7% 10.4% 12.4% 13.1% 11.9% 9.2% 4.0%
Elizabeth Starck 6.7% 9.2% 10.2% 9.6% 10.7% 11.7% 12.5% 12.8% 8.7% 5.7% 2.2%
Meredith Moran 27.3% 22.0% 15.6% 12.5% 10.1% 5.9% 3.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Leah Rickard 11.6% 12.6% 12.7% 13.4% 12.2% 11.4% 10.5% 7.6% 5.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Laura Smith 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 5.8% 7.8% 8.7% 13.2% 17.5% 18.0% 14.0%
Isabella Fadullon 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 5.2% 6.0% 9.4% 11.2% 14.9% 19.8% 20.6%
Allison Volk 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.7% 5.8% 6.4% 10.5% 11.1% 16.7% 18.8% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.