Race 8B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Meredith Moran 22.1% 22.2% 17.5% 13.6% 11.4% 7.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Starck 8.1% 6.9% 10.5% 9.6% 12.6% 12.0% 11.5% 11.9% 9.8% 6.0% 1.1%
Islay Van Dusen 8.1% 7.8% 9.6% 11.4% 11.6% 12.2% 12.5% 12.3% 8.2% 4.9% 1.4%
Riley Kloc 13.2% 12.5% 13.2% 13.2% 14.8% 11.0% 10.3% 6.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.6%
Leah Rickard 12.5% 12.4% 10.9% 13.1% 11.3% 12.1% 11.9% 7.4% 5.1% 3.0% 0.3%
Allison Volk 2.4% 2.3% 4.1% 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 8.8% 11.8% 16.2% 19.4% 20.5%
Torrey Chisari 19.9% 21.1% 16.1% 13.4% 10.0% 9.2% 5.8% 2.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 6.4% 6.3% 8.4% 8.7% 8.6% 12.4% 12.4% 11.8% 12.3% 9.6% 3.1%
Hannah Mercurio 1.7% 2.3% 1.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 10.4% 10.5% 17.2% 42.3%
Laura Smith 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 6.2% 6.2% 8.3% 9.7% 11.9% 16.5% 18.5% 12.0%
Isabella Fadullon 2.5% 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 5.4% 6.6% 9.0% 12.5% 15.3% 19.5% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.