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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.69vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+0.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.97vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.77vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-1.10vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.20+1.08vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37-0.22vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39-3.43vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.00-3.70vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.31-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Pennsylvania2.180.2%1st Place
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3.35Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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4.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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7.78Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.3Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Virginia-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 20.0% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 22.1% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Allison Volk | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 21.3% |
| Laura Smith | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 20.8% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.