Race 10B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leah Rickard 9.2% 11.9% 11.2% 13.4% 12.6% 11.8% 11.2% 8.7% 6.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Riley Kloc 13.9% 13.2% 15.3% 13.6% 10.6% 11.1% 8.5% 7.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Elizabeth Starck 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 11.6% 10.8% 13.3% 11.9% 10.9% 7.4% 3.3%
Torrey Chisari 17.7% 16.1% 15.6% 15.7% 11.4% 8.9% 7.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 24.4% 21.0% 17.7% 12.1% 8.6% 7.3% 4.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Islay Van Dusen 7.9% 9.1% 10.9% 10.0% 10.9% 11.9% 11.7% 10.4% 7.7% 7.2% 2.3%
Allison Volk 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 4.3% 5.3% 7.5% 7.2% 10.4% 15.0% 19.1% 21.9%
Aubin Hattendorf 5.4% 5.5% 6.3% 7.3% 11.0% 8.4% 11.3% 12.1% 14.3% 12.6% 5.8%
Caroline Sandoval 5.7% 6.0% 6.8% 8.8% 6.8% 12.6% 11.4% 12.9% 12.4% 10.7% 5.9%
Laura Smith 3.1% 4.1% 4.2% 4.3% 7.4% 6.0% 8.2% 11.6% 14.6% 19.5% 17.0%
Hannah Mercurio 1.6% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.8% 3.7% 5.6% 8.1% 10.6% 17.5% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.