← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.30+3.85vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.75+4.13vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.04+5.76vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.10+6.81vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.04vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.02+2.83vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.51+5.04vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.38-0.42vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.81+1.19vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.40vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.40-1.67vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.18vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University0.93+0.55vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.97-4.32vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.26-2.40vs Predicted
-
16Yale University2.42-10.34vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.22-4.92vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.20-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.85Stanford University3.3016.2%1st Place
-
6.13Dartmouth College2.7510.9%1st Place
-
8.76Brown University2.045.3%1st Place
-
10.81Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Naval Academy2.043.8%1st Place
-
8.83Tulane University2.025.5%1st Place
-
12.04Bowdoin College1.512.4%1st Place
-
7.58Cornell University2.387.2%1st Place
-
10.19College of Charleston1.813.5%1st Place
-
10.4University of Pennsylvania1.723.6%1st Place
-
9.33Boston College2.405.0%1st Place
-
9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.3%1st Place
-
13.55George Washington University0.931.7%1st Place
-
9.68Roger Williams University1.974.7%1st Place
-
12.6North Carolina State University1.262.0%1st Place
-
5.66Yale University2.4212.4%1st Place
-
12.08Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
-
8.66Georgetown University2.205.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 26.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 17.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.