Race 11B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Riley Kloc 11.3% 14.0% 13.3% 14.3% 13.1% 12.2% 8.0% 7.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7%
Meredith Moran 26.3% 19.1% 14.9% 15.3% 9.0% 7.2% 4.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Allison Volk 3.0% 2.6% 3.2% 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 6.1% 11.3% 14.6% 22.5% 24.3%
Islay Van Dusen 7.3% 8.5% 8.5% 10.7% 10.7% 13.3% 14.2% 10.7% 7.7% 6.5% 1.9%
Aubin Hattendorf 4.7% 6.0% 7.8% 6.3% 9.0% 8.9% 10.7% 12.0% 15.3% 12.6% 6.7%
Leah Rickard 11.7% 10.5% 12.1% 10.8% 12.8% 12.1% 10.1% 9.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3%
Hannah Mercurio 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 6.4% 7.2% 12.0% 16.3% 42.9%
Caroline Sandoval 6.0% 5.3% 8.5% 8.7% 9.5% 11.1% 11.4% 12.7% 11.9% 9.9% 5.0%
Torrey Chisari 16.6% 19.0% 14.7% 14.0% 11.8% 9.7% 6.9% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Elizabeth Starck 8.1% 8.9% 9.7% 10.1% 9.5% 10.9% 12.1% 12.0% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2%
Laura Smith 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 4.1% 7.3% 7.1% 9.4% 10.8% 15.1% 20.1% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.