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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+1.92vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+0.93vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06-0.23vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.82-0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-0.27vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.13-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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2.93Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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2.77Fairfield University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.15McGill University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.51Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 21.5% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 22.6% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 25.3% | 22.3% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Hal Clews | 19.3% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 6.2% |
| Kate Myler | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 24.7% | 42.9% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 25.3% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.