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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+1.98vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University1.06+0.78vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.82+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-2.00vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.13-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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2.78Fairfield University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.12McGill University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.0University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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4.48Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 20.9% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 5.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 26.3% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 4.4% |
| Hal Clews | 18.9% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 6.2% |
| Kate Myler | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 23.3% | 40.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 21.7% | 21.6% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.