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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.64vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.13+0.45vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University1.06-2.07vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.82-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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2.82University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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4.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.45Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.93Fairfield University1.060.2%1st Place
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3.18McGill University0.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 20.2% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 4.9% |
| Grace Cannon | 26.1% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Kate Myler | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 43.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 25.3% | 33.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 22.4% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 6.2% |
| Hal Clews | 18.1% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.