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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+0.59vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.50vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-1.06-0.47vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.70-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Fairfield University0.690.4%1st Place
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2.59University of New Hampshire0.350.3%1st Place
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3.17Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.53Bentley University-1.060.1%1st Place
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4.0McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 35.7% | 30.2% | 19.7% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Sam Harris | 29.0% | 24.0% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 15.6% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 22.3% | 15.1% | 5.2% |
| Cole Perra | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 22.5% | 35.4% |
| Brett Tardie | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 24.8% | 35.3% |
| Pierre Offredi | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 25.3% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.