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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.35+1.63vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+0.16vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.50vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-1.06-0.45vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.70-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
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2.16Fairfield University0.690.4%1st Place
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3.16Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.55Bentley University-1.060.1%1st Place
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4.0McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 24.9% | 26.6% | 22.3% | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 40.2% | 25.6% | 18.3% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 15.7% | 20.7% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 15.0% | 5.5% |
| Cole Perra | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 24.0% | 35.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 25.0% | 35.6% |
| Pierre Offredi | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 25.4% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.