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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+0.59vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.51vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.70-0.94vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.06-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Fairfield University0.690.4%1st Place
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2.59University of New Hampshire0.350.3%1st Place
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3.18Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.06McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
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4.46Bentley University-1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 36.2% | 30.5% | 18.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Sam Harris | 29.2% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Harry Stevenson | 15.6% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 5.5% |
| Cole Perra | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 25.2% | 34.2% |
| Pierre Offredi | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 22.1% | 22.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.