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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+3.59vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+3.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+3.74vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+1.22vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.60+1.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.33-3.75vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13-1.96vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-2.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.52+1.20vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.74-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.65vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-5.15vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.75-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.14Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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3.25Brown University3.330.3%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.35University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 14.0% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 26.8% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Horne | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 38.9% | 7.0% |
| Zachary Klusky | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Sean Lund | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 22.4% | 24.2% | 2.7% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 6.7% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.