← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.93+5.62vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.17+3.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.52+10.19vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.33-0.77vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.01+1.56vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.30-0.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.13-1.94vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.67-4.33vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.60-2.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.57-0.33vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.93-2.26vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.60vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.74-3.81vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49-3.94vs Predicted
-
16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.75-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.62Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
5.98Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
-
13.19University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
-
3.23Brown University3.330.3%1st Place
-
6.56Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
5.76Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
6.06Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
4.67Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
7.85Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.67University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.74Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
-
10.19Northeastern University0.740.0%1st Place
-
11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
-
15.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 39.9% | 6.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 27.4% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Sean Lund | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 24.1% | 3.1% |
| Zachary Klusky | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Horne | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 0.7% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 2.4% | 6.8% | 87.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.