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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+4.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+5.88vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.52vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+3.61vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+6.11vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+5.58vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97+1.69vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22+2.67vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-2.92vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.76vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.10-2.19vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.40-4.63vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.02-6.22vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-2.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.04-7.06vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.81-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Dartmouth College2.7512.0%1st Place
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4.69Stanford University3.3017.0%1st Place
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8.88Brown University2.046.0%1st Place
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7.52Cornell University2.387.2%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University2.205.9%1st Place
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12.11Bowdoin College1.513.0%1st Place
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12.58North Carolina State University1.262.6%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University1.975.2%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.558.5%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.2%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania1.723.8%1st Place
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10.81Harvard University2.102.8%1st Place
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9.37Boston College2.404.8%1st Place
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8.78Tulane University2.025.8%1st Place
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13.63George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy2.043.0%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 16.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 27.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.