Race 7B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John Meleney 12.2% 13.7% 12.0% 10.9% 10.9% 8.9% 7.3% 7.2% 4.5% 5.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Christopher Price 8.7% 9.9% 7.8% 8.9% 9.1% 7.6% 9.1% 8.0% 8.8% 8.6% 6.2% 3.8% 3.2% 0.3%
Max Nickbarg 16.0% 14.7% 12.1% 10.8% 9.6% 9.1% 8.5% 6.1% 5.1% 4.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Trevor Burd 8.4% 9.7% 10.7% 8.6% 9.1% 10.6% 8.2% 7.3% 5.9% 8.8% 7.1% 3.3% 2.2% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 6.4% 7.5% 9.2% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 8.0% 8.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.4% 6.1% 3.4% 0.5%
Ryan White 6.2% 4.7% 7.2% 6.9% 6.0% 9.0% 9.4% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 6.8% 1.3%
Tyler Rice 12.0% 11.4% 11.5% 11.0% 8.2% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 6.6% 5.1% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Michael Sturges 6.8% 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% 6.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.1% 7.7% 7.9% 9.2% 7.6% 0.7%
Katherine Doble 6.6% 4.5% 5.0% 5.0% 7.5% 6.2% 7.6% 8.8% 9.9% 9.1% 12.6% 9.4% 6.6% 1.2%
Martin McDonald 4.6% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 6.2% 7.8% 7.1% 8.7% 8.7% 10.8% 14.0% 10.4% 1.4%
William Cotta 5.4% 5.7% 4.8% 7.5% 7.3% 6.5% 7.4% 9.7% 7.1% 9.9% 10.0% 10.0% 7.3% 1.4%
Ben Lamont 4.2% 5.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 8.2% 6.3% 7.7% 10.5% 9.2% 8.0% 11.1% 9.5% 2.0%
Ben Ryan 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 3.2% 7.1% 80.8%
Neil Forrester 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 5.8% 5.3% 8.6% 14.6% 32.9% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.