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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+5.43vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+1.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.93+2.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+0.31vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.33-3.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.74+2.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93+0.70vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.17-3.92vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.60-3.32vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49-1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.52+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.61vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-4.13vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.75-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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3.24Brown University3.330.3%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.08Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.39University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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15.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 27.7% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Klusky | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 7.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Horne | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 39.5% | 5.8% |
| Sean Lund | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 25.1% | 3.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 0.6% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 88.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.