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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+1.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.44+2.36vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+3.61vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+0.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.62+1.55vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.63-0.33vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.81+0.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-1.67vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.28+0.63vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.37+1.10vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.77-2.85vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.68-0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.15-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.39-0.74vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.24-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Roger Williams University3.100.3%1st Place
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4.36Boston College2.440.2%1st Place
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6.61Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Vermont1.630.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.63Brown University0.280.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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12.9University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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14.26University of Michigan-1.390.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 30.0% | 22.7% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 16.0% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.8% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| UVM Catamounts | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Keeffe-Jones | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 8.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jake Lacoche | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 13.7% |
| Olin Guck | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Glen Warren | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 42.1% |
| Austin Packard | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 26.4% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.