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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.24+12.90vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.68+10.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+4.43vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.37+8.24vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.63+1.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.81+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.39+7.16vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.77+1.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.28+1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.15-1.89vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-6.22vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.57-5.15vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.61-6.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.62-7.55vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.44-10.56vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.10-13.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.85University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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12.24Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont1.630.1%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Michigan-1.390.0%1st Place
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9.05Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.51Brown University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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4.78Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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6.58Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.44Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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2.99Roger Williams University3.100.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Packard | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 25.3% | 32.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 15.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 8.4% |
| UVM Catamounts | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Glen Warren | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 40.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Keeffe-Jones | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Olin Guck | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 14.9% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 28.8% | 23.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.