Race 1A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 68.1% 21.8% 7.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercy Tangredi 4.3% 14.4% 19.1% 18.2% 15.7% 12.0% 10.8% 3.8% 1.7%
Marianna Shand 6.0% 15.5% 15.0% 18.1% 13.0% 15.8% 9.9% 5.2% 1.5%
Molly Coghlin 7.2% 15.9% 18.0% 18.2% 16.1% 10.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.3%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.8% 12.0% 14.6% 15.3% 13.2% 14.2% 13.3% 8.7% 3.9%
Erin Pamplin 4.1% 9.5% 12.5% 12.2% 16.9% 15.7% 14.6% 10.4% 4.1%
Morgan Burton 1.3% 3.3% 2.8% 4.2% 7.0% 10.1% 11.9% 23.9% 35.5%
Kira Blumhagen 1.5% 2.6% 3.9% 4.9% 6.3% 8.1% 13.8% 21.6% 37.3%
Florence Duff 2.7% 5.0% 7.0% 6.7% 11.1% 13.4% 17.4% 22.0% 14.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.