← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.13vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.15+1.19vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.25vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-0.54+2.01vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.79vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.57+0.29vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.62-2.84vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
-
5.13University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
-
4.19University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.25University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
7.01San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
-
7.29Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
5.16University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
-
6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.2% | 23.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.6% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.7% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 33.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.6% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 23.4% | 37.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 21.0% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.