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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.88vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.57+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.62-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.15-2.82vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.69vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.54-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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7.07Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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6.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.18San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 68.5% | 21.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.3% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.9% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.3% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 22.7% | 34.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.1% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 16.5% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 22.1% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.