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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+0.01vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.54+1.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57+0.28vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.73-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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7.16San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.28Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 69.8% | 19.8% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.1% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.9% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.8% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 23.8% | 33.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 23.0% | 37.6% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 21.2% | 15.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.