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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15+1.21vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.54+3.08vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+1.19vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.06-3.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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7.08San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.25Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.7% | 23.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.9% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 21.6% | 33.5% |
| Florence Duff | 2.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 23.0% | 37.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.6% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.3% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.