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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+7.78vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+4.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+3.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+5.58vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.30-1.35vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81+2.86vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.02+0.90vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-0.45vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51+1.83vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-1.12vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.26-1.27vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-1.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.04-6.04vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.04-8.07vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Dartmouth College2.7510.5%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University1.974.9%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.387.7%1st Place
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7.15Yale University2.557.6%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University2.104.5%1st Place
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4.65Stanford University3.3015.8%1st Place
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9.86College of Charleston1.814.8%1st Place
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8.9Tulane University2.025.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston College2.096.3%1st Place
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11.83Bowdoin College1.513.0%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania1.723.5%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.222.3%1st Place
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12.73North Carolina State University1.262.1%1st Place
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13.67George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Naval Academy2.044.8%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.045.3%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 27.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.