Race 8B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John Meleney 13.3% 12.1% 11.7% 11.6% 10.4% 9.0% 7.8% 7.1% 5.6% 3.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Christopher Price 8.9% 9.8% 8.3% 8.1% 9.7% 8.3% 7.9% 8.3% 9.9% 7.4% 6.0% 4.3% 3.1% 0.0%
Tyler Rice 10.4% 11.5% 9.7% 10.1% 9.6% 8.9% 7.7% 8.8% 7.3% 6.2% 4.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 6.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.5% 9.1% 8.3% 9.7% 7.2% 8.8% 7.6% 7.0% 5.5% 3.6% 0.5%
Max Nickbarg 12.8% 14.3% 14.8% 11.7% 8.8% 10.0% 6.2% 7.4% 5.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 6.3% 5.4% 5.8% 7.1% 5.9% 8.2% 8.9% 7.4% 8.8% 9.3% 9.5% 9.1% 7.1% 1.2%
Martin McDonald 6.1% 5.7% 5.9% 5.1% 6.3% 5.7% 7.3% 6.7% 9.2% 8.7% 11.9% 10.7% 8.9% 1.8%
William Cotta 6.2% 6.1% 7.4% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 8.5% 8.1% 9.8% 8.2% 1.5%
Ben Lamont 5.9% 3.8% 5.0% 5.1% 6.0% 6.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.5% 10.7% 11.5% 10.5% 8.8% 1.7%
Ryan White 6.0% 5.8% 5.7% 7.3% 8.1% 6.5% 10.1% 8.4% 7.5% 9.4% 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.0%
Katherine Doble 5.8% 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 7.7% 7.5% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 10.3% 10.5% 9.6% 8.5% 1.2%
Trevor Burd 9.2% 9.3% 9.5% 10.5% 9.1% 9.7% 8.0% 8.9% 7.5% 6.1% 4.5% 5.0% 2.4% 0.3%
Neil Forrester 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.1% 5.0% 7.3% 8.9% 14.8% 31.6% 10.5%
Ben Ryan 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 2.4% 3.2% 8.5% 80.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.