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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.83vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.29vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.54+0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-2.88vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.57-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.23San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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7.19Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.3% | 23.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.2% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.7% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.6% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.0% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 16.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 25.7% | 33.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 23.1% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.