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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+0.03vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.54+1.15vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.62vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.06-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.35University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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7.15San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.23Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 69.2% | 20.5% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.3% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.6% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 24.8% | 33.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 16.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 22.4% | 37.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.5% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.