← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.62+3.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.15+1.22vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University-0.54+3.08vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.17vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.57+1.22vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.75vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.68vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles1.06-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
-
5.31University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
-
4.22University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.08San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
4.83University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
-
7.22Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
4.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
-
6.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
-
4.32University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.2% | 22.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.9% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.7% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 32.9% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.9% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 36.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.7% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 17.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.1% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.