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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.62+1.05vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.08vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57-0.80vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.54-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.36University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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6.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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7.2Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.19San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 68.1% | 22.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.4% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.4% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.3% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 25.0% | 35.2% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 22.6% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.