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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+6.07vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.81+8.02vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+1.05vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+1.72vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.79vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74+0.60vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+4.38vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35-3.31vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-4.42vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.51+4.30vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.37-3.03vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-1.79vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.11-4.39vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-1.58vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.27+0.90vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.18-2.73vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida0.67-6.51vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.02Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.72North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.79Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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6.6Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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11.38Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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4.69College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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4.58Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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14.3University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.97University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.21Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.61The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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12.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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15.9Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.27Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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13.93Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.1% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 17.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 46.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 8.3% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.