← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University2.38+3.82vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.65+5.01vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.35+1.78vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.66-0.09vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.74+1.57vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel1.11+2.77vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.37+0.84vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University2.01-2.33vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.92vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.79+0.11vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University0.81-1.09vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College0.37-0.27vs Predicted
-
13Duke University-0.18+0.08vs Predicted
-
14University of Central Florida0.67-3.90vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-0.51-0.89vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-3.16vs Predicted
-
17Auburn University-1.27-1.03vs Predicted
-
18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.01Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.78College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
6.57Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
8.77The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
-
7.84University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.67North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
9.92Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
-
10.11Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.91Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
-
11.73Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.08Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.1University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
-
14.11University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
-
12.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
-
15.97Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
13.87Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.8% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.4% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 15.9% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 47.8% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.