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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+6.11vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+1.80vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+1.65vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+6.27vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74+0.62vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.96vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida0.67+2.27vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79+0.91vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18+3.35vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-4.01vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+1.08vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.38-8.44vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-0.19vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.11-6.34vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University0.81-6.07vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.27-1.01vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-0.51-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.11University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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4.8College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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5.65North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.27Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.62Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.96Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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9.91Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.35Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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13.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.56Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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13.81Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.66The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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9.93Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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15.99Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.98University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 17.4% | 19.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 9.5% |
| Emily Allen | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 7.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 13.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 48.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.