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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+5.83vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+2.80vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+2.84vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University0.81+5.74vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18+8.16vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37+1.95vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+4.41vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida0.67+2.31vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-5.11vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79+0.17vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-3.96vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.71vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.11-4.43vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.27+1.82vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-2.24vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-1.84vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.26-3.40vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.35-13.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.8Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.84North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.74Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.16Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.95University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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11.41Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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3.89University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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10.17Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.04Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.29Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.57The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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15.82Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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14.16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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13.6University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.66College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Emily Allen | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 46.6% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 6.8% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 20.9% | 16.6% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 12.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.