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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+3.94vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.90vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+4.01vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida0.67+4.39vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.81+2.83vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-5.10vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37+1.63vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.91vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.11-2.94vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.26+0.37vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-0.11vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.79-5.11vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-1.270.00vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.18-3.61vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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5.9North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.01Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.66Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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7.85University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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9.83Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.53Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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11.63Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.09Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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9.06The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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13.37University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.89Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.89Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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16.0Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.39Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 15.7% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.0% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 10.0% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 14.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 50.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.