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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+9.70vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+4.01vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+1.93vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+5.01vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+5.69vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26+3.87vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.81-0.01vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-1.39vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.04-3.09vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.30-8.23vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.09-5.42vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.17vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.02-6.98vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.51-5.00vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.7Harvard University2.103.6%1st Place
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8.79Georgetown University2.205.5%1st Place
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7.01Yale University2.557.8%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.7512.0%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania1.724.0%1st Place
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12.01Northeastern University1.222.5%1st Place
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13.69George Washington University0.931.7%1st Place
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12.87North Carolina State University1.261.8%1st Place
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9.99College of Charleston1.813.8%1st Place
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9.61Roger Williams University1.974.7%1st Place
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8.91Brown University2.045.9%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University3.3016.2%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.096.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.044.5%1st Place
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9.02Tulane University2.025.3%1st Place
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12.0Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.773.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 26.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.