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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+5.58vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+2.64vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+1.72vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+1.53vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.49vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66-3.16vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11+0.37vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University0.81+0.51vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.58+4.22vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-4.16vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida0.67-1.70vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-0.66vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-0.50vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.37-4.03vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.18-3.04vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.51-3.10vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.27-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.64Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.72College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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5.53North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.49Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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7.71University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.37The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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9.51Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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14.22Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.84Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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12.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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13.5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.97Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.96Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.9University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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15.58Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 12.5% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.2% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| Emily Allen | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 14.4% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.