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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.00vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+3.89vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+2.37vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.81+4.48vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.35-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37+0.63vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.54vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-4.50vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+2.63vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.51+2.86vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida0.67-3.16vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.58-0.20vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.11-6.58vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.18-3.07vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-3.20vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.27-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.75North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.89Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.37Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.48Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.62College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.63University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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9.54Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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4.5Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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13.86University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.34Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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13.8Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.42The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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12.93Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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15.59Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.5% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 13.8% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.