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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+4.69vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.81+7.76vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+0.92vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+2.57vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.48vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+5.04vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+5.38vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.51+5.76vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-1.47vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.11-1.28vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.27vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.74-5.35vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.18-0.22vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.27+1.49vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-1.31vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida0.67-5.90vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.58-2.82vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.35-13.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.76Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.57Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.52Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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11.04Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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13.76University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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8.72The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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9.73Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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6.65Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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12.78Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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15.49Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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14.18Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 10.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.6% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 15.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 38.7% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.