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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+3.72vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida0.67+5.00vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13+2.74vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.77vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.01-2.47vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.74-2.40vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University0.81-0.40vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.11-2.28vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-2.30vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47+0.77vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-1.32vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.18-2.09vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.37-4.73vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.26-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.72Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.63Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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10.0University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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8.74University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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9.77Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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5.53North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.6Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.6Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.72The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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9.7Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.77Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.91Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.27Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.27University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 21.3% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Adam Larson | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 28.4% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| John Cole McGee | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.