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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+4.33vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.47vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+3.43vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+2.81vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.63vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13+2.72vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79+2.77vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University0.81+1.46vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.18+4.15vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+2.57vs Predicted
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11Florida State University2.38-6.33vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-8.16vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida0.67-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.26-0.75vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.47-1.33vs Predicted
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16The Citadel1.11-7.33vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.37-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.47North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.43Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.81Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.63Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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9.77Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.46Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.15Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.67Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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10.25University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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13.25University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.67Georgia Institute of Technology-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.67The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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11.29Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Hardt | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 19.6% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 15.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.2% | 19.6% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 22.7% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 28.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.