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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+4.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+2.22vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+4.02vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70+0.58vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.48+0.36vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.40+2.92vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.34-1.33vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07+2.00vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.51-3.55vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.75vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.83vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University0.39-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.20-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-2.13vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.84-2.16vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.14vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.26-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.28College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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8.02Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.58Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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6.36North Carolina State University1.480.1%1st Place
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9.92The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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6.67Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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11.0Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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6.45University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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11.75Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.17Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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9.85Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.65University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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13.84Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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15.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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16.5Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 13.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 14.3% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| William Turner | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martin | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 8.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 32.3% | 31.1% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 22.9% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.