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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+4.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+2.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86+1.09vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.48+1.25vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.34+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.20+4.95vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07+2.96vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+2.64vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94-1.69vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.00vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.39-1.73vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.40-3.20vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.84-0.42vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-2.15vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.26+0.64vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.16vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.51-11.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.27College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.25North Carolina State University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.73Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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11.95University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.96Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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11.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.31Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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10.0Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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10.27Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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9.8The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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13.58Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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16.64Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
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15.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.07University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew King | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Frank | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 6.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 21.4% | 54.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 30.8% | 31.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.