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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+3.31vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+5.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+2.16vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54+1.06vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.97-1.15vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.89vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07+3.00vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.70-3.45vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.34-3.05vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.40-0.94vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.39-1.72vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.54vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.20-2.36vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.84-1.21vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-3.04vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.15vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.26-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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8.33Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.16University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.06North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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4.85Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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9.89Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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11.0Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.55Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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6.95Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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10.06The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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10.28Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.46Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.64University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.79Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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16.48Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Stordahl | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| matthew Monts | 9.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Ringel | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 5.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 30.7% | 31.8% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 21.6% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.