Race 10B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Nickbarg 15.3% 14.3% 13.5% 11.5% 10.7% 9.3% 5.7% 6.4% 3.8% 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Tyler Rice 11.6% 11.4% 11.6% 9.6% 9.4% 8.4% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Ryan White 6.3% 6.9% 6.5% 7.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 8.3% 10.9% 9.9% 8.5% 4.9% 1.0%
John Meleney 10.9% 13.5% 12.0% 9.9% 11.1% 10.0% 6.9% 6.7% 8.5% 4.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Martin McDonald 3.4% 4.9% 5.7% 5.9% 5.8% 7.1% 6.2% 8.6% 7.6% 9.3% 10.0% 12.7% 10.6% 2.2%
William Cotta 5.7% 4.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.7% 9.8% 8.6% 9.1% 1.0%
Trevor Burd 10.9% 10.9% 9.9% 10.4% 8.8% 8.0% 8.5% 7.4% 8.4% 6.4% 4.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Ben Lamont 5.9% 5.0% 6.4% 5.3% 5.6% 7.6% 7.4% 6.8% 9.3% 9.0% 9.6% 10.6% 9.7% 1.8%
Christopher Price 8.3% 7.2% 7.8% 7.8% 9.9% 7.9% 10.6% 7.6% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 5.0% 3.3% 0.5%
Katherine Doble 5.1% 5.5% 4.3% 6.2% 7.6% 7.0% 7.9% 8.4% 7.7% 8.9% 11.7% 12.0% 6.5% 1.2%
Carolyn Naughton 8.4% 7.3% 7.2% 10.5% 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 9.6% 8.1% 8.1% 6.4% 6.2% 2.8% 0.6%
Michael Sturges 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 7.4% 8.1% 9.5% 8.5% 7.0% 8.7% 9.2% 7.3% 1.1%
Neil Forrester 2.3% 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 4.4% 4.5% 7.2% 8.6% 14.6% 32.2% 10.7%
Ben Ryan 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 9.7% 79.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.