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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+3.98vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.70+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+2.24vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.34+2.66vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.51+0.31vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.39+2.98vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+1.86vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07+2.03vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.54-3.67vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.40-0.91vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.23-7.60vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.84+0.66vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.20-2.34vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.37vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-3.02vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.13vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.26-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.74Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.66Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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8.07Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.31University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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9.98Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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9.86Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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11.03Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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6.33North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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10.09The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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4.4College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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13.66Duke University-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.66University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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11.63Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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16.5Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Usher | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 18.3% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 7.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 29.2% | 32.2% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 24.3% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.