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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+7.07vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.34+4.74vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+2.12vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23-0.03vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.39+4.69vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+3.75vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.17+0.17vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.70-2.56vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07+1.82vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.20+1.76vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.51-4.80vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.35vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.40-3.38vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-2.26+2.27vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-2.49vs Predicted
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16Duke University-2.01-0.01vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.42vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.97-13.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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6.74Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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3.97College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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9.69Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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9.75Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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7.17North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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10.82Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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11.76University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.2University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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11.65Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.62The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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16.27Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.99Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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15.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.64Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 18.5% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 10.7% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Noah Frank | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 26.9% | 38.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| William Robertson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 26.1% | 34.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 18.9% | 27.8% | 23.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.