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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+4.24vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.83vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+2.63vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.17+3.12vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+2.88vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.23-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.51-0.93vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07+2.75vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.71vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.20+1.78vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.34-4.23vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University0.39-2.00vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.40-3.45vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.87vs Predicted
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15Duke University-2.01+1.00vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-3.32vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.40vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.26-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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4.83Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.63Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.88Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.05College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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6.07University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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10.75Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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9.71Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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11.78University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.77Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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10.0Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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9.55The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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11.13Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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16.0Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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16.21Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 11.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 18.5% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| William Turner | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Noah Frank | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| William Robertson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 27.8% | 31.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 19.8% | 27.2% | 23.6% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 14.5% | 25.8% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.