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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+7.13vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+3.19vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.70+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86-0.05vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.97-1.28vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.39+2.72vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+3.33vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.34-2.44vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.17-2.60vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.40-1.19vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.20-1.50vs Predicted
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14Duke University-2.01+1.86vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-2.40vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.07-5.09vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.26-0.57vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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4.13College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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6.19University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.41Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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4.72Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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9.72Embry-Riddle University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.56Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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7.4North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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9.81The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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9.95Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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11.5University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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15.86Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.91Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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16.43Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
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15.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 15.1% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martin | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| William Turner | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| William Robertson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 27.9% | 29.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Liam Dunn | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 24.7% | 45.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 23.3% | 25.8% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.